WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?
💼BusinessLEAN NOAlpha: 31d left

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?

YES Price
$0.05
5.0% implied probability
NO Price
$0.95
95.0% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength67% NO

6 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 67% consensus betting NO. This creates a 1.5% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.95. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $16.2K. With only 1 day until resolution, this is a time-critical opportunity — odds may shift rapidly as the deadline approaches. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 548%.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 16
% Edge
16%
Days Left
1
Annualized
548%
Smart Wallets
6

Alpha Signal: HOLD

6 smart wallets • LEAN_NO consensus (67%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$51.9K
Liquidity
$29.8K
Smart Money Size
$16.2K
Consensus Strength
67%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?"?â–¾

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.05 (5.0% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.95 (95.0% implied probability). The market has $52K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?"?â–¾

6 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 67% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $16.2K. The alpha score is 3 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?â–¾

This market has an alpha score of 3 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?â–¾

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?â–¾

The 1.5% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category💼Business
Alpha Score3
ConsensusLEAN NO
End Date5/6/2026

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WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire