Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
🇺🇸US PoliticsSTRONG YESAlpha: 12

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

YES Price
$0.03
3.1% implied probability
NO Price
$0.97
96.9% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength82% YES

22 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with an overwhelming 82% consensus betting YES. This creates a significant 94.9% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.03. Smart money has committed $231.5K in total exposure to this market.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 33
% Edge
33%
Days Left
962
Annualized
36%
Smart Wallets
22

Alpha Signal: BUY_YES

22 smart wallets • STRONG_YES consensus (82%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$7.3M
Liquidity
$426.2K
Smart Money Size
$231.5K
Consensus Strength
82%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.03 (3.1% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.97 (96.9% implied probability). The market has $7.3M in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?"?

22 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 82% consensus betting YES. These wallets have a combined exposure of $231.5K. The alpha score is 12 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 12 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 94.9% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category🇺🇸US Politics
Alpha Score12
ConsensusSTRONG YES
End Date11/7/2028

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