Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
🇺🇸US PoliticsAlpha: 0

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?

YES Price
$0.97
96.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.03
3.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength52% NO

48 of the highest-performing Polymarket wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 52% consensus betting NO. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $79.5K. Resolution is 11 days away, creating near-term urgency for traders positioning on this outcome.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 33
% Edge
33%
Days Left
11
Annualized
Smart Wallets
48

Alpha Signal: HOLD

48 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (52%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$404.2K
Liquidity
$21.6K
Smart Money Size
$79.5K
Consensus Strength
52%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.97 (96.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.03 (3.5% implied probability). The market has $404K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?"?

48 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 52% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $79.5K. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

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Market Info

Category🇺🇸US Politics
Alpha Score0
End Date5/15/2026

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