Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on April 2?
💼BusinessLEAN NOAlpha: 31d left

Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on April 2?

YES Price
$0.94
94.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.06
5.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength61% NO

6 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 61% consensus betting NO. This creates a significant 64.1% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.06. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $5.4K. With only 1 day until resolution, this is a time-critical opportunity — odds may shift rapidly as the deadline approaches. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 1000%.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 26
% Edge
26%
Days Left
1
Annualized
1000%
Smart Wallets
6

Alpha Signal: HOLD

6 smart wallets • LEAN_NO consensus (61%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$8.8K
Liquidity
$82.45
Smart Money Size
$5.4K
Consensus Strength
61%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on April 2?"?â–¾

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.94 (94.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.06 (5.5% implied probability). The market has $9K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on April 2?"?â–¾

6 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 61% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $5.4K. The alpha score is 3 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?â–¾

This market has an alpha score of 3 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?â–¾

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?â–¾

The 64.1% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category💼Business
Alpha Score3
ConsensusLEAN NO
End Date4/2/2026

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Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on April 2? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire