Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
💼BusinessAlpha: 0

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

YES Price
$0.27
26.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.73
73.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength44% NO

18 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 44% consensus betting NO. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $46.0K.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 9
% Edge
9%
Days Left
286
Annualized
Smart Wallets
18

Alpha Signal: HOLD

18 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (44%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$747.6K
Liquidity
$76.0K
Smart Money Size
$46.0K
Consensus Strength
44%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.27 (26.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.73 (73.5% implied probability). The market has $748K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?"?

18 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 44% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $46.0K. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

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Market Info

Category💼Business
Alpha Score0
End Date12/31/2026

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