Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 33°C on May 7?
🔬ScienceLEAN YESAlpha: 11d left

Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 33°C on May 7?

YES Price
$0.97
97.0% implied probability
NO Price
$0.03
3.0% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength60% YES

5 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 60% consensus betting YES. This creates a 0.1% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.97. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $610. With only 1 day until resolution, this is a time-critical opportunity — odds may shift rapidly as the deadline approaches.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 6
% Edge
6%
Days Left
1
Annualized
49%
Smart Wallets
5

Alpha Signal: HOLD

5 smart wallets • LEAN_YES consensus (60%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$5.0K
Liquidity
$86.52
Smart Money Size
$610
Consensus Strength
60%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 33°C on May 7?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.97 (97.0% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.03 (3.0% implied probability). The market has $5K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 33°C on May 7?"?

5 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 60% consensus betting YES. These wallets have a combined exposure of $610. The alpha score is 1 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 1 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 0.1% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category🔬Science
Alpha Score1
ConsensusLEAN YES
End Date5/7/2026

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Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 33°C on May 7? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire