Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?
🌍World PoliticsAlpha: 1

Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?

YES Price
$0.04
4.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.95
95.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength55% NO

42 of the highest-performing Polymarket wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 55% consensus betting NO. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $23.9K. Resolution is 12 days away, creating near-term urgency for traders positioning on this outcome.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 33
% Edge
33%
Days Left
12
Annualized
Smart Wallets
42

Alpha Signal: HOLD

42 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (55%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$297.1K
Liquidity
$23.5K
Smart Money Size
$23.9K
Consensus Strength
55%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.04 (4.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.95 (95.5% implied probability). The market has $297K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?"?

42 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 55% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $23.9K. The alpha score is 1 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 1 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

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Market Info

Category🌍World Politics
Alpha Score1
End Date3/31/2026

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