Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
🌍World PoliticsAlpha: 0

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?

YES Price
$0.04
3.8% implied probability
NO Price
$0.96
96.2% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength45% NO

66 of the highest-performing Polymarket wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 45% consensus betting NO. Smart money has committed $101.6K in total exposure to this market. Resolution is 12 days away, creating near-term urgency for traders positioning on this outcome.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 39
% Edge
39%
Days Left
12
Annualized
Smart Wallets
66

Alpha Signal: HOLD

66 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (45%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$2.2M
Liquidity
$196.4K
Smart Money Size
$101.6K
Consensus Strength
45%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.04 (3.8% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.96 (96.2% implied probability). The market has $2.2M in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?"?

66 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 45% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $101.6K. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

Log in to trade this market

Market Info

Category🌍World Politics
Alpha Score0
End Date3/31/2026

Ready to trade this market?

Open PolyFire on Telegram and execute in seconds.

Trade on Telegram