Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 7?
Smart Money Analysis
11 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 73% consensus betting YES. This creates a significant 88.0% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.10. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $2.8K. With only 1 day until resolution, this is a time-critical opportunity — odds may shift rapidly as the deadline approaches. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 1000%.
Opportunity Metrics
Score: 31Alpha Signal: BUY_YES
11 smart wallets • STRONG_YES consensus (73%)
Market Stats
Key Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 7?"?▾
As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.10 (10.1% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.90 (90.0% implied probability). The market has $24K in 24-hour trading volume.
What is smart money betting on "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 7?"?▾
11 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 73% consensus betting YES. These wallets have a combined exposure of $2.8K. The alpha score is 6 out of 100.
What is the alpha score for this market?▾
This market has an alpha score of 6 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.
How can I trade this market?▾
You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.
What does the consensus edge mean?▾
The 88.0% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.