Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
CryptoLEAN YESAlpha: 81d left

Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET

YES Price
$0.48
48.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.52
51.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength67% YES

6 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 67% consensus betting YES. This creates a significant 34.0% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.48. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $122. With only 1 day until resolution, this is a time-critical opportunity — odds may shift rapidly as the deadline approaches. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 1000%.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 29
% Edge
29%
Days Left
1
Annualized
1000%
Smart Wallets
6

Alpha Signal: HOLD

6 smart wallets • LEAN_YES consensus (67%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$101.06
Liquidity
$25.8K
Smart Money Size
$122
Consensus Strength
67%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.48 (48.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.52 (51.5% implied probability). The market has $0K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET"?

6 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 67% consensus betting YES. These wallets have a combined exposure of $122. The alpha score is 8 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 8 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 34.0% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

CategoryCrypto
Alpha Score8
ConsensusLEAN YES
End Date5/11/2026

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Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire