Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?
CryptoLEAN NOAlpha: 1

Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?

YES Price
$0.21
21.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.79
78.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength57% NO

5 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 57% consensus betting NO. This creates a notable 13.0% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.79. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $18.4K.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 10
% Edge
10%
Days Left
286
Annualized
17%
Smart Wallets
5

Alpha Signal: HOLD

5 smart wallets • LEAN_NO consensus (57%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$75.5K
Liquidity
$7.5K
Smart Money Size
$18.4K
Consensus Strength
57%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.21 (21.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.79 (78.5% implied probability). The market has $75K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?"?

5 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 57% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $18.4K. The alpha score is 1 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 1 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 13.0% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

CategoryCrypto
Alpha Score1
ConsensusLEAN NO
End Date12/31/2026

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