DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?
💼BusinessLEAN NOAlpha: 231d left

DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?

YES Price
$0.24
23.8% implied probability
NO Price
$0.76
76.3% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength71% NO

21 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 71% consensus betting NO. This creates a significant 21.8% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.76. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $19.8K. With only 1 day until resolution, this is a time-critical opportunity — odds may shift rapidly as the deadline approaches. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 1000%.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 21
% Edge
21%
Days Left
1
Annualized
1000%
Smart Wallets
21

Alpha Signal: BUY_NO

21 smart wallets • STRONG_NO consensus (71%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$54.0K
Liquidity
$8.7K
Smart Money Size
$19.8K
Consensus Strength
71%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?"?â–¾

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.24 (23.8% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.76 (76.3% implied probability). The market has $54K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?"?â–¾

21 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 71% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $19.8K. The alpha score is 23 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?â–¾

This market has an alpha score of 23 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?â–¾

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?â–¾

The 21.8% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category💼Business
Alpha Score23
ConsensusLEAN NO
End Date4/24/2026

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DeepSeek V4 released by April 24? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire