🇺🇸US PoliticsLEAN NOAlpha: 0

Will the Republican Party win the TN-08 House seat?

YES Price
$0.93
92.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.07
7.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength66% NO

6 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 66% consensus betting NO. This creates a significant 62.8% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.07. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $1.9K. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 101%.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 26
% Edge
26%
Days Left
227
Annualized
101%
Smart Wallets
6

Alpha Signal: HOLD

6 smart wallets • LEAN_NO consensus (66%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$1.9K
Liquidity
$13.1K
Smart Money Size
$1.9K
Consensus Strength
66%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will the Republican Party win the TN-08 House seat?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.93 (92.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.07 (7.5% implied probability). The market has $2K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will the Republican Party win the TN-08 House seat?"?

6 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 66% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $1.9K. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 62.8% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category🇺🇸US Politics
Alpha Score0
ConsensusLEAN NO
End Date11/3/2026

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