Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31?
🌍World PoliticsLEAN NOAlpha: 7

Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31?

YES Price
$0.02
2.4% implied probability
NO Price
$0.98
97.7% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength67% NO

6 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 67% consensus betting NO. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $5.7K. Resolution is 8 days away, creating near-term urgency for traders positioning on this outcome.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 32
% Edge
32%
Days Left
8
Annualized
Smart Wallets
6

Alpha Signal: HOLD

6 smart wallets • LEAN_NO consensus (67%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$1.5M
Liquidity
$16.9K
Smart Money Size
$5.7K
Consensus Strength
67%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.02 (2.4% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.98 (97.7% implied probability). The market has $1.5M in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31?"?

6 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 67% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $5.7K. The alpha score is 7 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 7 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

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Market Info

Category🌍World Politics
Alpha Score7
ConsensusLEAN NO
End Date3/31/2026

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Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire