Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
🇺🇸US PoliticsLEAN NOAlpha: 5

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

YES Price
$0.13
13.0% implied probability
NO Price
$0.87
87.0% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength63% NO

16 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 63% consensus betting NO. This creates a 7.1% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.87. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $80.1K.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 12
% Edge
12%
Days Left
240
Annualized
11%
Smart Wallets
16

Alpha Signal: HOLD

16 smart wallets • LEAN_NO consensus (63%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$709.2K
Liquidity
$59.2K
Smart Money Size
$80.1K
Consensus Strength
63%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.13 (13.0% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.87 (87.0% implied probability). The market has $709K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?"?

16 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 63% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $80.1K. The alpha score is 5 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 5 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 7.1% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category🇺🇸US Politics
Alpha Score5
ConsensusLEAN NO
End Date12/31/2026

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