Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
🇺🇸US PoliticsAlpha: 0

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

YES Price
$0.24
24.0% implied probability
NO Price
$0.76
76.0% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength50% NO

2 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 50% consensus betting NO. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $8.3K. With 30 days until resolution, there is still time for the market to converge toward the smart money consensus.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 26
% Edge
26%
Days Left
30
Annualized
Smart Wallets
2

Alpha Signal: HOLD

2 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (50%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$23.8K
Liquidity
$18.3K
Smart Money Size
$8.3K
Consensus Strength
50%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.24 (24.0% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.76 (76.0% implied probability). The market has $24K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?"?

2 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 50% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $8.3K. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

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Market Info

Category🇺🇸US Politics
Alpha Score0
End Date4/20/2026

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