Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be fewer than 20?
🔬ScienceAlpha: 0

Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be fewer than 20?

YES Price
$0.02
2.4% implied probability
NO Price
$0.98
97.7% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength50% NO

2 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 50% consensus betting NO. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $952.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 5
% Edge
5%
Days Left
285
Annualized
—
Smart Wallets
2

Alpha Signal: HOLD

2 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (50%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$10.5K
Liquidity
$9.5K
Smart Money Size
$952
Consensus Strength
50%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be fewer than 20?"?â–¾

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.02 (2.4% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.98 (97.7% implied probability). The market has $10K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be fewer than 20?"?â–¾

2 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 50% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $952. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?â–¾

This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?â–¾

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

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Market Info

Category🔬Science
Alpha Score0
End Date12/31/2026

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Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be fewer than 20? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire