Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
🌍World PoliticsAlpha: 0

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

YES Price
$0.17
16.7% implied probability
NO Price
$0.83
83.4% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength53% NO

83 of the highest-performing Polymarket wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 53% consensus betting NO. With $5.95M in total smart money exposure, this represents one of the highest-conviction plays in the dataset.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 12
% Edge
12%
Days Left
911
Annualized
Smart Wallets
83

Alpha Signal: HOLD

83 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (53%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$16.4M
Liquidity
$274.2K
Smart Money Size
$6.0M
Consensus Strength
53%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.17 (16.7% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.83 (83.4% implied probability). The market has $16.4M in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?

83 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 53% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $5.95M. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

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Market Info

Category🌍World Politics
Alpha Score0
End Date11/7/2028

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