Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,700 on the final trading day of March 2026?
💼BusinessAlpha: 0

Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,700 on the final trading day of March 2026?

YES Price
$0.28
28.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.71
71.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength43% NO

3 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 43% consensus betting NO. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $628. Resolution is 10 days away, creating near-term urgency for traders positioning on this outcome.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 24
% Edge
24%
Days Left
10
Annualized
Smart Wallets
3

Alpha Signal: HOLD

3 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (43%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$4.9K
Liquidity
$431.46
Smart Money Size
$628
Consensus Strength
43%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,700 on the final trading day of March 2026?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.28 (28.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.71 (71.5% implied probability). The market has $5K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,700 on the final trading day of March 2026?"?

3 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 43% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $628. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

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Market Info

Category💼Business
Alpha Score0
End Date3/31/2026

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