Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Smart Money Analysis
80 of the highest-performing Polymarket wallets have taken positions on this market, with an overwhelming 83% consensus betting NO. This creates a 1.4% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.97. With $842.5K in total smart money exposure, this represents one of the highest-conviction plays in the dataset. The alpha score of 51 indicates moderate smart money attention on this market. With 51 days until resolution, there is still time for the market to converge toward the smart money consensus.
Opportunity Metrics
Score: 26Alpha Signal: BUY_NO
80 smart wallets • STRONG_NO consensus (83%)
Market Stats
Key Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?"?▾
As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.03 (3.4% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.97 (96.6% implied probability). The market has $4.1M in 24-hour trading volume.
What is smart money betting on "Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?"?▾
80 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 83% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $842.5K. The alpha score is 51 out of 100.
What is the alpha score for this market?▾
This market has an alpha score of 51 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.
How can I trade this market?▾
You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.
What does the consensus edge mean?▾
The 1.4% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.