US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Smart Money Analysis
130 of the highest-performing Polymarket wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 52% consensus betting NO. With $818.8K in total smart money exposure, this represents one of the highest-conviction plays in the dataset. Resolution is 12 days away, creating near-term urgency for traders positioning on this outcome.
Opportunity Metrics
Score: 41Alpha Signal: HOLD
130 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (52%)
Market Stats
Key Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds on "US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?"?▾
As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.07 (6.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.94 (93.5% implied probability). The market has $13.4M in 24-hour trading volume.
What is smart money betting on "US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?"?▾
130 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 52% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $818.8K. The alpha score is 1 out of 100.
What is the alpha score for this market?▾
This market has an alpha score of 1 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.
How can I trade this market?▾
You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.