Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on March 26?
🔬ScienceLEAN NOAlpha: 21d left

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on March 26?

YES Price
$0.88
88.0% implied probability
NO Price
$0.12
12.0% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength60% NO

3 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 60% consensus betting NO. This creates a significant 59.6% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.12. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $314. With only 1 day until resolution, this is a time-critical opportunity — odds may shift rapidly as the deadline approaches. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 1000%.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 26
% Edge
26%
Days Left
1
Annualized
1000%
Smart Wallets
3

Alpha Signal: HOLD

3 smart wallets • LEAN_NO consensus (60%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$4.7K
Liquidity
$427.68
Smart Money Size
$314
Consensus Strength
60%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on March 26?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.88 (88.0% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.12 (12.0% implied probability). The market has $5K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on March 26?"?

3 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 60% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $314. The alpha score is 2 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 2 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 59.6% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category🔬Science
Alpha Score2
ConsensusLEAN NO
End Date3/26/2026

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Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on March 26? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire