UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)
SportsLEAN YESAlpha: 602d left

UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)

YES Price
$0.68
67.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.33
32.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength73% YES

4 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 73% consensus betting YES. This creates a significant 30.5% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.68. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $14.4K. An alpha score of 60 signals strong smart money interest relative to the broader market. With only 2 days until resolution, this is a time-critical opportunity — odds may shift rapidly as the deadline approaches. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 1000%.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 30
% Edge
30%
Days Left
2
Annualized
1000%
Smart Wallets
4

Alpha Signal: BUY_YES

4 smart wallets • STRONG_YES consensus (73%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$139.8K
Liquidity
$61.1K
Smart Money Size
$14.4K
Consensus Strength
73%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.68 (67.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.33 (32.5% implied probability). The market has $140K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)"?

4 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 73% consensus betting YES. These wallets have a combined exposure of $14.4K. The alpha score is 60 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 60 out of 100, which indicates strong smart money interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 30.5% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

CategorySports
Alpha Score60
ConsensusLEAN YES
End Date3/22/2026

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