Will Europe win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Smart Money Analysis
11 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 73% consensus betting YES. This creates a significant 26.5% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.71. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $21.7K. An alpha score of 60 signals strong smart money interest relative to the broader market. With 30 days until resolution, there is still time for the market to converge toward the smart money consensus. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 322%.
Opportunity Metrics
Score: 38Alpha Signal: BUY_YES
11 smart wallets • STRONG_YES consensus (73%)
Market Stats
Key Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will Europe win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?"?▾
As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.71 (71.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.28 (28.5% implied probability). The market has $117K in 24-hour trading volume.
What is smart money betting on "Will Europe win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?"?▾
11 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 73% consensus betting YES. These wallets have a combined exposure of $21.7K. The alpha score is 60 out of 100.
What is the alpha score for this market?▾
This market has an alpha score of 60 out of 100, which indicates strong smart money interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.
How can I trade this market?▾
You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.
What does the consensus edge mean?▾
The 26.5% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.