Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
🌍World PoliticsAlpha: 0

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?

YES Price
$0.09
8.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.92
91.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength32% NO

16 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 32% consensus betting NO. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $94.2K.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 10
% Edge
10%
Days Left
287
Annualized
Smart Wallets
16

Alpha Signal: HOLD

16 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (32%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$283.5K
Liquidity
$92.7K
Smart Money Size
$94.2K
Consensus Strength
32%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.09 (8.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.92 (91.5% implied probability). The market has $284K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?"?

16 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 32% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $94.2K. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

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Market Info

Category🌍World Politics
Alpha Score0
End Date12/31/2026

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