Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?
🌍World PoliticsAlpha: 0

Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?

YES Price
$0.06
5.7% implied probability
NO Price
$0.94
94.3% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength32% NO

22 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 32% consensus betting NO. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $45.9K. Resolution is 10 days away, creating near-term urgency for traders positioning on this outcome.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 35
% Edge
35%
Days Left
10
Annualized
Smart Wallets
22

Alpha Signal: HOLD

22 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (32%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$660.2K
Liquidity
$42.0K
Smart Money Size
$45.9K
Consensus Strength
32%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.06 (5.7% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.94 (94.3% implied probability). The market has $660K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?"?

22 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 32% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $45.9K. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

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Market Info

Category🌍World Politics
Alpha Score0
End Date3/31/2026

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Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire