🇺🇸US PoliticsAlpha: 0

Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat?

YES Price
$0.08
8.0% implied probability
NO Price
$0.92
92.0% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength50% NO

2 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 50% consensus betting NO. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $2.1K.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 6
% Edge
6%
Days Left
227
Annualized
—
Smart Wallets
2

Alpha Signal: HOLD

2 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (50%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$2.1K
Liquidity
$16.0K
Smart Money Size
$2.1K
Consensus Strength
50%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat?"?â–¾

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.08 (8.0% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.92 (92.0% implied probability). The market has $2K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat?"?â–¾

2 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 50% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $2.1K. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?â–¾

This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?â–¾

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

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Market Info

Category🇺🇸US Politics
Alpha Score0
End Date11/3/2026

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Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire