Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?
Smart Money Analysis
11 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 64% consensus betting NO. This creates a notable 16.3% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.74. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $3.2K. Resolution is 12 days away, creating near-term urgency for traders positioning on this outcome. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 496%.
Opportunity Metrics
Score: 33Alpha Signal: HOLD
11 smart wallets • LEAN_NO consensus (64%)
Market Stats
Key Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds on "Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?"?▾
As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.26 (26.2% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.74 (73.9% implied probability). The market has $28K in 24-hour trading volume.
What is smart money betting on "Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?"?▾
11 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 64% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $3.2K. The alpha score is 15 out of 100.
What is the alpha score for this market?▾
This market has an alpha score of 15 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.
How can I trade this market?▾
You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.
What does the consensus edge mean?▾
The 16.3% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.