Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive?
Smart Money Analysis
1 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with an overwhelming 100% consensus betting NO. This creates a significant 38.8% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.59. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $74.
Opportunity Metrics
Score: 16Alpha Signal: BUY_NO
1 smart wallets • STRONG_NO consensus (100%)
Market Stats
Key Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive?"?▾
As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.41 (40.8% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.59 (59.2% implied probability). The market has $0K in 24-hour trading volume.
What is smart money betting on "Will the number of Republican House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive?"?▾
1 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 100% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $74. The alpha score is 1 out of 100.
What is the alpha score for this market?▾
This market has an alpha score of 1 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.
How can I trade this market?▾
You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.
What does the consensus edge mean?▾
The 38.8% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.