Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
🇺🇸US PoliticsLEAN YESAlpha: 5

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

YES Price
$0.94
94.2% implied probability
NO Price
$0.06
5.9% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength66% YES

32 of the highest-performing Polymarket wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 66% consensus betting YES. This creates a 2.1% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.94. Smart money has committed $183.0K in total exposure to this market.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 14
% Edge
14%
Days Left
223
Annualized
3%
Smart Wallets
32

Alpha Signal: HOLD

32 smart wallets • LEAN_YES consensus (66%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$2.2M
Liquidity
$469.6K
Smart Money Size
$183.0K
Consensus Strength
66%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?"?â–¾

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.94 (94.2% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.06 (5.9% implied probability). The market has $2.2M in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?"?â–¾

32 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 66% consensus betting YES. These wallets have a combined exposure of $183.0K. The alpha score is 5 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?â–¾

This market has an alpha score of 5 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?â–¾

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?â–¾

The 2.1% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category🇺🇸US Politics
Alpha Score5
ConsensusLEAN YES
End Date10/31/2026

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Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire