Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on March 22?
🔬ScienceSTRONG NOAlpha: 11d left

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on March 22?

YES Price
$0.03
2.7% implied probability
NO Price
$0.97
97.3% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength100% NO

1 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with an overwhelming 100% consensus betting NO. This creates a 0.7% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.97. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $48. With only 1 day until resolution, this is a time-critical opportunity — odds may shift rapidly as the deadline approaches. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 256%.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 6
% Edge
6%
Days Left
1
Annualized
256%
Smart Wallets
1

Alpha Signal: BUY_NO

1 smart wallets • STRONG_NO consensus (100%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$3.5K
Liquidity
$809.63
Smart Money Size
$48
Consensus Strength
100%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on March 22?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.03 (2.7% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.97 (97.3% implied probability). The market has $4K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on March 22?"?

1 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 100% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $48. The alpha score is 1 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 1 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 0.7% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category🔬Science
Alpha Score1
ConsensusSTRONG NO
End Date3/22/2026

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Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on March 22? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire