Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
🌍World PoliticsLEAN YESAlpha: 19

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

YES Price
$0.12
12.0% implied probability
NO Price
$0.88
87.9% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength69% YES

43 of the highest-performing Polymarket wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 69% consensus betting YES. This creates a significant 59.6% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.12. With $661.3K in total smart money exposure, this represents one of the highest-conviction plays in the dataset.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 33
% Edge
33%
Days Left
963
Annualized
23%
Smart Wallets
43

Alpha Signal: HOLD

43 smart wallets • LEAN_YES consensus (69%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$4.9M
Liquidity
$350.1K
Smart Money Size
$661.3K
Consensus Strength
69%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.12 (12.0% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.88 (87.9% implied probability). The market has $4.9M in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?

43 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 69% consensus betting YES. These wallets have a combined exposure of $661.3K. The alpha score is 19 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 19 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 59.6% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

Log in to trade this market

Market Info

Category🌍World Politics
Alpha Score19
ConsensusLEAN YES
End Date11/7/2028

Ready to trade this market?

Open PolyFire on Telegram and execute in seconds.

Trade on Telegram