Will Jace Yarbrough be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?
🇺🇸US PoliticsSTRONG NOAlpha: 1

Will Jace Yarbrough be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?

YES Price
$0.93
93.4% implied probability
NO Price
$0.07
6.6% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength80% NO

10 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with an overwhelming 80% consensus betting NO. This creates a significant 91.4% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.07. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $871. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 498%.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 33
% Edge
33%
Days Left
67
Annualized
498%
Smart Wallets
10

Alpha Signal: BUY_NO

10 smart wallets • STRONG_NO consensus (80%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$870.751411
Liquidity
$3.3K
Smart Money Size
$871
Consensus Strength
80%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will Jace Yarbrough be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.93 (93.4% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.07 (6.6% implied probability). The market has $1K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will Jace Yarbrough be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?"?

10 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 80% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $871. The alpha score is 1 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 1 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 91.4% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

Log in to trade this market

Market Info

Category🇺🇸US Politics
Alpha Score1
ConsensusSTRONG NO
End Date5/26/2026

Ready to trade this market?

Open PolyFire on Telegram and execute in seconds.

Trade on Telegram