Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?
Smart Money Analysis
3 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 67% consensus betting NO. This creates a notable 13.7% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.78. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $620. With only 1 day until resolution, this is a time-critical opportunity — odds may shift rapidly as the deadline approaches. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 1000%.
Opportunity Metrics
Score: 18Alpha Signal: HOLD
3 smart wallets • LEAN_NO consensus (67%)
Market Stats
Key Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?"?▾
As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.23 (22.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.78 (77.5% implied probability). The market has $27K in 24-hour trading volume.
What is smart money betting on "Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?"?▾
3 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 67% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $620. The alpha score is 6 out of 100.
What is the alpha score for this market?▾
This market has an alpha score of 6 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.
How can I trade this market?▾
You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.
What does the consensus edge mean?▾
The 13.7% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.