Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
🇺🇸US PoliticsAlpha: 0

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

YES Price
$0.37
36.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.63
63.4% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength52% NO

112 of the highest-performing Polymarket wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 52% consensus betting NO. With $38.15M in total smart money exposure, this represents one of the highest-conviction plays in the dataset.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 12
% Edge
12%
Days Left
911
Annualized
Smart Wallets
112

Alpha Signal: HOLD

112 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (52%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$12.8M
Liquidity
$222.2K
Smart Money Size
$38.2M
Consensus Strength
52%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.37 (36.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.63 (63.4% implied probability). The market has $12.8M in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?"?

112 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 52% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $38.15M. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

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Market Info

Category🇺🇸US Politics
Alpha Score0
End Date11/7/2028

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