Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?
🔬ScienceAlpha: 01d left

Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?

YES Price
$0.09
9.2% implied probability
NO Price
$0.91
90.8% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength50% NO

4 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 50% consensus betting NO. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $1.8K. With only 1 day until resolution, this is a time-critical opportunity — odds may shift rapidly as the deadline approaches.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 7
% Edge
7%
Days Left
1
Annualized
—
Smart Wallets
4

Alpha Signal: HOLD

4 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (50%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$56.4K
Liquidity
$1.6K
Smart Money Size
$1.8K
Consensus Strength
50%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?"?â–¾

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.09 (9.2% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.91 (90.8% implied probability). The market has $56K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?"?â–¾

4 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 50% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $1.8K. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?â–¾

This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?â–¾

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

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Market Info

Category🔬Science
Alpha Score0
End Date3/22/2026

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Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire