10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
🔬ScienceSTRONG NOAlpha: 7

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

YES Price
$0.05
4.7% implied probability
NO Price
$0.95
95.3% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength89% NO

9 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with an overwhelming 89% consensus betting NO. This creates a 2.6% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.95. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $18.3K.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 7
% Edge
7%
Days Left
241
Annualized
4%
Smart Wallets
9

Alpha Signal: BUY_NO

9 smart wallets • STRONG_NO consensus (89%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$591.6K
Liquidity
$13.8K
Smart Money Size
$18.3K
Consensus Strength
89%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.05 (4.7% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.95 (95.3% implied probability). The market has $592K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?"?

9 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 89% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $18.3K. The alpha score is 7 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 7 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 2.6% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category🔬Science
Alpha Score7
ConsensusSTRONG NO
End Date12/31/2026

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