Kurds declare independence from Iran?
🌍World PoliticsAlpha: 0

Kurds declare independence from Iran?

YES Price
$0.04
4.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.95
95.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength53% NO

15 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 53% consensus betting NO. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $40.0K. With 56 days until resolution, there is still time for the market to converge toward the smart money consensus.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 22
% Edge
22%
Days Left
56
Annualized
Smart Wallets
15

Alpha Signal: HOLD

15 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (53%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$135.5K
Liquidity
$28.5K
Smart Money Size
$40.0K
Consensus Strength
53%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Kurds declare independence from Iran?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.04 (4.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.95 (95.5% implied probability). The market has $136K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Kurds declare independence from Iran?"?

15 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 53% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $40.0K. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

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Market Info

Category🌍World Politics
Alpha Score0
End Date6/30/2026

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