Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Smart Money Analysis
18 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 56% consensus betting YES. This creates a significant 22.8% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.65. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $21.7K. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 82%.
Opportunity Metrics
Score: 19Alpha Signal: HOLD
18 smart wallets • LEAN_YES consensus (56%)
Market Stats
Key Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds on "Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?"?▾
As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.65 (64.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.35 (35.5% implied probability). The market has $491K in 24-hour trading volume.
What is smart money betting on "Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?"?▾
18 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 56% consensus betting YES. These wallets have a combined exposure of $21.7K. The alpha score is 8 out of 100.
What is the alpha score for this market?▾
This market has an alpha score of 8 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.
How can I trade this market?▾
You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.
What does the consensus edge mean?▾
The 22.8% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.