Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.6% by March 31?
CryptoLEAN NOAlpha: 4

Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.6% by March 31?

YES Price
$0.03
2.9% implied probability
NO Price
$0.97
97.1% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength67% NO

3 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 67% consensus betting NO. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $965. Resolution is 11 days away, creating near-term urgency for traders positioning on this outcome.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 30
% Edge
30%
Days Left
11
Annualized
1%
Smart Wallets
3

Alpha Signal: HOLD

3 smart wallets • LEAN_NO consensus (67%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$20.1K
Liquidity
$7.1K
Smart Money Size
$965
Consensus Strength
67%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.6% by March 31?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.03 (2.9% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.97 (97.1% implied probability). The market has $20K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.6% by March 31?"?

3 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 67% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $965. The alpha score is 4 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 4 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

Log in to trade this market

Market Info

CategoryCrypto
Alpha Score4
ConsensusLEAN NO
End Date3/31/2026

Ready to trade this market?

Open PolyFire on Telegram and execute in seconds.

Trade on Telegram