Will UK strike Iran by March 31?
🌍World PoliticsLEAN NOAlpha: 13

Will UK strike Iran by March 31?

YES Price
$0.02
2.1% implied probability
NO Price
$0.98
97.9% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength64% NO

53 of the highest-performing Polymarket wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 64% consensus betting NO. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $66.5K. Resolution is 12 days away, creating near-term urgency for traders positioning on this outcome.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 33
% Edge
33%
Days Left
12
Annualized
Smart Wallets
53

Alpha Signal: HOLD

53 smart wallets • LEAN_NO consensus (64%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$804.7K
Liquidity
$21.3K
Smart Money Size
$66.5K
Consensus Strength
64%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will UK strike Iran by March 31?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.02 (2.1% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.98 (97.9% implied probability). The market has $805K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will UK strike Iran by March 31?"?

53 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 64% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $66.5K. The alpha score is 13 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 13 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

Log in to trade this market

Market Info

Category🌍World Politics
Alpha Score13
ConsensusLEAN NO
End Date3/31/2026

Ready to trade this market?

Open PolyFire on Telegram and execute in seconds.

Trade on Telegram