Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Smart Money Analysis
42 of the highest-performing Polymarket wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 69% consensus betting NO. This creates a significant 22.8% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.65. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $73.9K.
Opportunity Metrics
Score: 17Alpha Signal: HOLD
42 smart wallets • LEAN_NO consensus (69%)
Market Stats
Key Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds on "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?"?▾
As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.35 (35.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.65 (64.5% implied probability). The market has $210K in 24-hour trading volume.
What is smart money betting on "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?"?▾
42 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 69% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $73.9K. The alpha score is 16 out of 100.
What is the alpha score for this market?▾
This market has an alpha score of 16 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.
How can I trade this market?▾
You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.
What does the consensus edge mean?▾
The 22.8% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.