Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?
CryptoAlpha: 0

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?

YES Price
$0.17
17.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.82
82.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength41% NO

3 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 41% consensus betting NO. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $53.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 3
% Edge
3%
Days Left
286
Annualized
Smart Wallets
3

Alpha Signal: HOLD

3 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (41%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$19.3K
Liquidity
$4.2K
Smart Money Size
$53
Consensus Strength
41%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.17 (17.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.82 (82.5% implied probability). The market has $19K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?"?

3 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 41% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $53. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

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Market Info

CategoryCrypto
Alpha Score0
End Date12/31/2026

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