Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?
💼BusinessLEAN YESAlpha: 5

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?

YES Price
$0.56
55.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.45
44.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength67% YES

6 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 67% consensus betting YES. This creates a significant 29.1% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.56. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $623.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 12
% Edge
12%
Days Left
235
Annualized
45%
Smart Wallets
6

Alpha Signal: HOLD

6 smart wallets • LEAN_YES consensus (67%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$9.0K
Liquidity
$149.18
Smart Money Size
$623
Consensus Strength
67%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.56 (55.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.45 (44.5% implied probability). The market has $9K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?"?

6 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 67% consensus betting YES. These wallets have a combined exposure of $623. The alpha score is 5 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 5 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 29.1% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category💼Business
Alpha Score5
ConsensusLEAN YES
End Date12/31/2026

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