Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?
🎯unknownAlpha: 0

Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?

YES Price
$0.13
12.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.88
87.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength42% NO

10 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 42% consensus betting NO. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $10.0K. Resolution is 12 days away, creating near-term urgency for traders positioning on this outcome.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 30
% Edge
30%
Days Left
12
Annualized
Smart Wallets
10

Alpha Signal: HOLD

10 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (42%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$34.3K
Liquidity
$8.2K
Smart Money Size
$10.0K
Consensus Strength
42%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.13 (12.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.88 (87.5% implied probability). The market has $34K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?"?

10 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 42% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $10.0K. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

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Market Info

Category🎯unknown
Alpha Score0
End Date3/31/2026

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