Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1?
Smart Money Analysis
1 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with an overwhelming 100% consensus betting NO. This creates a 3.3% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.95. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $385. With 42 days until resolution, there is still time for the market to converge toward the smart money consensus.
Opportunity Metrics
Score: 21Alpha Signal: BUY_NO
1 smart wallets • STRONG_NO consensus (100%)
Market Stats
Key Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1?"?â–¾
As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.05 (5.3% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.95 (94.7% implied probability). The market has $26K in 24-hour trading volume.
What is smart money betting on "Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1?"?â–¾
1 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 100% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $385. The alpha score is 8 out of 100.
What is the alpha score for this market?â–¾
This market has an alpha score of 8 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.
How can I trade this market?â–¾
You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.
What does the consensus edge mean?â–¾
The 3.3% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.