Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 29?
🔬ScienceLEAN YESAlpha: 31d left

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 29?

YES Price
$0.67
66.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.34
33.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength58% YES

12 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 58% consensus betting YES. This creates a significant 21.4% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.67. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $5.0K. With only 1 day until resolution, this is a time-critical opportunity — odds may shift rapidly as the deadline approaches. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 1000%.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 15
% Edge
15%
Days Left
1
Annualized
1000%
Smart Wallets
12

Alpha Signal: HOLD

12 smart wallets • LEAN_YES consensus (58%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$14.6K
Liquidity
$635.48
Smart Money Size
$5.0K
Consensus Strength
58%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 29?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.67 (66.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.34 (33.5% implied probability). The market has $15K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 29?"?

12 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 58% consensus betting YES. These wallets have a combined exposure of $5.0K. The alpha score is 3 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 3 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 21.4% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category🔬Science
Alpha Score3
ConsensusLEAN YES
End Date4/29/2026

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Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 29? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire